作者：张兴贵
编辑：李堃 责任编辑：张娜 校对：王滨 翻译：刘芳
“每周一、三、五恨日本，二、四、六恨美国，星期天恨台湾、韩国、欧洲。只有这样，当中国人面对毒奶粉、毒疫苗、高房贷、高医疗费用及洗脑教育时，就没有时间恨共产党了。”这句话乍听像段子，细想却让人毛骨悚然。因为它不是笑话，它是一本真实存在，并且被反复演练的操作手册。
舆论转移的核心逻辑其实特别简单:人的愤怒能量是有限的，只要不断提供一个更显眼、更安全、更容易发泄的靶子，人们就不会去打真正的靶子。就像魔术师左手挥舞鲜艳的丝巾，吸引全场目光，右手却悄悄把牌换了。统治者最怕的，从来不是老百姓恨A、恨B、恨C，而是有一天所有恨都集中到同一个地方——集中到他们自己身上。所以，必须源源不断地制造并轮换“外部敌人”。敌人还要按周排班，不能重复。这样民怨永远是碎片化的、离散的、可控的。
我们来简单拉一条时间线，大家马上就能看出其模式是这样的: 2018，中美贸易战，恨美国；2019，反修例，恨“港独”；2020，新冠疫情，恨美国“投毒”；2021，新疆棉，恨耐克；恨西方“反华势力”；2022，佩洛西访台，恨“台独”，恨美国；2023，气球事件，恨美国 ；2024，仁爱礁补给冲突，恨菲律宾；2025，”台湾有事就是日本有事“，恨日本。
这还只是国际部分。国内还有一套完整的“内循环敌人表”：公知→带路党→恨国党→美分→50万→蛆→润人……标签永远用不完，新造一个只需要三秒。只要大家还在网上互相撕标签，就没人有精力去问：为什么一个普通感冒去三甲医院要花几千？为什么年轻人累死累活996还是买不起房？为什么养老金要延迟到65岁？因为愤怒已经被精准导流了，洪水永远冲不到大坝，而是被引到早就挖好的泄洪区。
这就是舆论转移的终极形态：让被统治者互相消耗情绪资源，直到精疲力尽，彻底丧失追问能力。有人会反驳：“你老说转移舆论，那总得有真实的外部敌人吧？日本美国菲律宾难道不坏吗？”有可能，但问题从来不是“有没有敌人”，而是“谁在挑选敌人、谁在放大敌人、谁在决定今天恨谁、明天恨谁”。当一个国家真正的治理问题堆积如山，却把全民情绪引导到“抵制日货”“砸肯德基”“骂菲律宾是乞丐国”上，这本身就是最高级的转移。因为真正的敌人从来不是外国，而是时间。时间会让喝毒奶粉的孩子长大，时间会让买不起房的90后变成被割韭菜的40岁中年人，时间会让交了一辈子社保的人发现养老金不够用……所有问题只要拖过十年、二十年，就变成了“历史遗留问题”，到时候再甩锅给“前任”“体制不完善”，反正永远没人负责。而舆论转移的最高境界，就是让老百姓把最宝贵的时间，耗费在互相攻击、互相举报、互相道德绑架上，直到所有问题都被归结为“无法解决的历史旧账”。
鲁迅先生有一句话：“无尽的远方，无数的人们，都与我有关。”但舆论转移术要让我们相信：无尽的远方，无数的人们，都是我们的敌人。当我们每周一、三、五恨日本，二、四、六恨美国，星期天继续恨其它任何人的时候，我们就正好中了圈套。
真正的敌人，从来不是日本，不是美国，不是台湾，不是润人，也不是小粉红。真正的敌人，是这种让我们只会恨来恨去、却永远不敢直面真实问题的系统。打破旧制度，才是我们这一代人真正的成年礼。
The Art of Diverting Public Opinion
Author: Zhang Xinggui
Editor: Li Kun Executive Editor: Zhang Na Proofreader: Wang Bin · Translator: Liu Fang
Abstract: The Chinese Communist authorities continuously manufacture “manageable hostility,” channeling public emotions into mutual attacks and thereby draining the capacity to think about real problems and pursue the truth. The author argues that the true danger is not hatred itself, but the inability to confront problems directly—and a system that perpetually redirects public attention through shifting targets and narratives.
“On Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, hate Japan; on Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Saturdays, hate the United States; on Sundays, hate Taiwan, South Korea, and Europe.” At first glance, this sounds like a joke. On second thought, it sends a chill down the spine. Because it isn’t a joke—it is a real operating manual that exists and is rehearsed over and over again.
The core logic of diverting public opinion is actually very simple: people have limited emotional energy. As long as you continuously provide a more conspicuous, safer, and easier target for venting anger, people will not strike at the real target. Like a magician waving a bright silk scarf with the left hand to draw everyone’s eyes, while quietly switching the cards with the right. What rulers fear most has never been that the people hate A, B, or C; it is the day when all hatred converges on one place—on themselves. Therefore, “external enemies” must be manufactured continuously and rotated regularly. The enemies must even be scheduled by the week, without repetition. In this way, public resentment remains fragmented, dispersed, and controllable.
Let us sketch a simple timeline, and the pattern becomes immediately clear: 2018—U.S.–China trade war, hate the United States; 2019—anti-extradition protests, hate “Hong Kong independence”; 2020—COVID-19, hate the United States for “spreading the virus”; 2021—Xinjiang cotton, hate Nike and the Western “anti-China forces”; 2022—Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, hate “Taiwan independence” and the United States; 2023—the balloon incident, hate the United States; 2024—the Ren’ai Reef resupply confrontation, hate the Philippines; 2025—“If Taiwan is in trouble, Japan is in trouble,” hate Japan.
That is only the international side. Domestically there is a complete “internal-circulation enemy list”: public intellectuals → traitors → “haters of the nation” → paid pro-American shills → “the 500,000” → vermin → “those who ran away”… The labels never run out. Creating a new one takes only three seconds. As long as everyone is busy tearing labels off each other online, no one has the energy to ask: Why does a simple cold cost thousands at a top-tier hospital? Why do young people work themselves to death under 996 schedules and still can’t afford a home? Why must the retirement age be delayed to 65? Because anger has already been precisely diverted. The flood never reaches the dam; it is guided instead into pre-dug spillways.
This is the ultimate form of public-opinion diversion: make the governed exhaust their emotional resources fighting one another until they are utterly depleted and lose the ability to question. Some will retort: “You keep talking about diversion—surely there are real external enemies? Aren’t Japan, the United States, and the Philippines bad?” Perhaps. But the question has never been whether enemies exist; it is who selects the enemies, who amplifies them, and who decides whom to hate today and whom to hate tomorrow. When a country’s genuine governance problems pile up like mountains, yet national emotions are steered toward “boycotting Japanese goods,” “smashing KFC,” or “insulting the Philippines as a beggar state,” that itself is the highest form of diversion. Because the real enemy has never been foreign countries—it is time. Time will let children who drank tainted milk powder grow up. Time will turn post-90s youths who couldn’t afford housing into middle-aged forty-somethings harvested like chives. Time will make people who paid social security all their lives discover that their pensions are insufficient. Any problem, if dragged on for ten or twenty years, becomes a “historical legacy issue,” to be blamed on “previous administrations” or “imperfect systems,” with no one ever held accountable. The highest mastery of public-opinion diversion is to make ordinary people squander their most precious resource—time—on mutual attacks, mutual reporting, and mutual moral coercion, until all problems are reduced to “unsolvable historical debts.”
Lu Xun once wrote: “Endless distant places, countless people—all are connected to me.” But the art of diversion wants us to believe: endless distant places and countless people are all our enemies. When we hate Japan on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays; hate the United States on Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Saturdays; and keep hating someone else on Sundays, we have fallen perfectly into the trap.
The true enemy has never been Japan, the United States, Taiwan, those who left, or the little pinks. The true enemy is a system that trains us only to hate back and forth while forever avoiding the real problems. Breaking that system is the true coming-of-age rite for our generation.
