The upper limit of reform and the lower limit of opening up
Author: Tuo Xianrun
Editor: Zhou Zhigang Responsible Editor Hu Lili
Abstract: The path of China’s “reform and opening up” for more than 40 years is “opening up first, reform later”. The economy has always served power; the crisis is not driving institutional breakthroughs, but external bargaining and internal tightening. The core logic is growth is important, but the security of the regime is a priority.
Most of our generation of thirty-eight-nine-year-olds grew up in the “growth myth” and KPI language and are used to explaining all the turns with the curve of economics. But to understand the past 40 years, you must first correct the order: first open up, then reform; open outward, reform inward. Opening up is a diplomatic chip, which is used to change technology, market and time; reform is the repair of rule, which is used to bring back order and redistribute resources. Economy is just a wrench, not a steering wheel. Power is the hand that won’t let go.
Many people believe that “the economic crisis has forced reform”. This is nice to hear, and it can also comfort the self-esteem of the market faction: as long as the growth declines, the policy will turn around. But looking back, it’s just the opposite. The starting point of “opening up” to the outside world in the 1960s and 1970s was not compassion or market consensus, but security anxiety. Only by turning the face of China and the Soviet Union and pressing the border to the top, there is a window for reconciliation with the United States and attracting investment. Opening up is not to make up the pockets of the common people, but to make up for the shortcomings of the national machinery, make up for the equipment of the stuck neck, and win time on your side. “Reform” does not need to be rooted. What is really touched is always the non-lifeblood zone: if you can release it to the market, put a little, release it and recycle it at any time; what can’t be released – military industry, energy, financial hub, information valve – don’t give up an inch. The “dual-track system” in the 1980s tied the plan to the market. The result was not automatic arrival but bumps all the way. In 1988, the price breakthrough almost overturned the economy. You can say that it is the “cost of reform”, but it is more like an internal stress test: whichever step it is put, it will trigger systemic instability, and if it is triggered, it will turn back. The economy here is not a goal, but a table. The needle of the watch shook too much, so I screwed it back. The same is true for the “extroverted rationality” in the 1990s. Every year, we talk about most-favored-nation treatment with the United States, which is about time and space – using kindness, posture, and limited release in exchange for an annual pass. It was not until he joined the WTO that the chips were pushed up at once. Many people interpret the accession to the WK as “reverse domestic reform”, but the real implementation logic is getting the 15-year window of high-speed development first, as for the promise, drag it if you can, and patch it if you can patch it. Opening up has always been one-way: I want your technology, I want your order, I want your capital, but my barriers, my port, my red line, still belong to me.
The script after 2008 is more straightforward. Four trillion yuan is not to support private foreign trade with broken cash flow, but to feed the “visible” iron rooster and large enterprises. Private enterprises are like incubators, which do not stop laying eggs; state-owned enterprises are like incubators, concentrating energy in a controllable place. The reason is very simple: when there is a conflict between the economy and stability, the power should be stabilized first. The power supply of a streetlamp company cannot be fully marketize, because the “power off” button symbolizes political risk. Not to mention finance and data, even “who can speak out and how to speak out” needs to be managed. The boundary is not written in the law, but in the “risk narrative” – anything that can be interpreted as organizational risk does not belong to the market. That’s why whenever private capital tries to self-organize, tries to build a system, and tries to turn the “entrepreneur community” into a public issue, the red light will come on. It’s not that you don’t do it well enough, but that you do it too much like the institutional requirements. Universities, foundations, industry autonomy, and cross-regional professional qualifications – anything that can produce an independent order will be classified as “suspicious power substitution”. This is not a problem of economics, but a problem of political science: the source of order must be unique. Put this main line back to the historical coordinates, and you will no longer expect “the crisis drives the inflection point of goodwill”. The crisis will only promote two actions: one is to bargain more radically externally to fight for respite; the other is to make more resolute structural recovery internally to ensure that key valves are not in the hands of others. The market and the rule of law will only be expanded when it does not threaten the valve. Once it touches the line, it will be retracted. The core mechanism of the so-called “Chinese-style modernization” is the “border of growth”: when the boundary is there, growth exists; when the boundary is touched, growth gives way. This does not mean that growth is not important. On the contrary, growth is the basis of the narrative of legitimacy and the KPI of “performance politics”. Investment, land prices, exports, industrial iteration, these indicators have become the account list of “dominant accounting”. If you can hand in your grades on the table, you can get security in politics. But when “performance” and “safety” conflict, there is no suspense in multiple-choice questions. So, we see the cycle of “release first and then collect”: release is to bring up the economy; collect is to ensure that the reins are in hand.
For our generation, the real understanding that needs to be updated is don’t use economic logic to make political choices. You can use the cash flow model to estimate the enterprise and the demand curve to look at the industry, but do not use it to predict “when to turn”. The shift is never determined by the ratio of GDP, but by the thermometer of “risk perception”. Today’s external pressure will bring some short-term posture adjustments and some technical “open rhetoric”, but this does not mean that the boundaries have been rewritten. The writer of the boundary only recognizes one: The security of the regime.
So, are we walking a familiar old road? If the “old road” refers to the path of “security as the platform, economy as the tool, openness to seek the time, and reform and government”, then the answer is eight or nine. The difference is that the outside world is more complex, and the domestic structure is larger; the same thing is that the steering wheel is held in the same hand. Only by understanding this point can we know which expectations should be lowered and which actions should be accelerated: doing business should look at boundaries, and doing public issues should look at risk narrative; instead of giving hope to “turning”, it’s better toLeave the preparation to “normal”. This is not cynicism, but the sobriety of adults. Our generation should at least regard sobriety as a basic literacy.
Freedom of speech is not guilty, calling on the Communist Party of China to release Hu Yang
Author: Quan Lujun
Editor: Zhang Zhijun Responsible Editor: Luo Zhifei Translator: Cheng Ming
We all know that many Chinese democrats have been convicted for their words and have been brutally suppressed and persecuted by the Communist Party of China.
I have summarized three points:
First, the Communist Party of China persecutes democrats and suppresses freedom of speech, so that the truth cannot be spread, which is harmful to democratic freedom and a regression of human society.
Second, the behavior of the Communist Party of China will have a very bad demonstration effect on other countries and regimes in the world, which is also harmful to democracy and freedom.
Third, the Communist Party of China is selfish and has no bottom line. The Communist Party of China cannot deprive everyone of their innate rights. This is the right given to everyone by God. The existence of the Communist Party of China is anti-human and anti-social, so it is right to stop evil.
Shi Qingmei, a democrat who participated in solidarity activities, said: Hu Yang is not guilty, because freedom of speech is the right granted to Chinese people by the Constitution. If the Communist Party of China suppresses a young man in this way and blatantly violates its own constitution, it will be laughed at by the people of the civilized world. In addition, I appeal to those public security prison guards, you should be kind to political prisoners and raise the muzzle an inch higher, because they have not done a mistake. History will prove all this. If we continue to do evil for the Communist Party of China, I I believe that one day history will liquidate you.
Through the “September 3rd Military Parade” to Observe Xi Jinping’s Cult of Personality
Author: Luo Zhifei Editor: Hu Lili Translator: Lyu Feng
Abstract: On September 3, 2025, the military parade commemorating the “Victory of the War of Resistance Against Japan” is being prepared in full swing. Xi Jinping will once again ascend the Tiananmen Rostrum for the third time, personally presiding over this highly symbolic ceremony.
On September 3, 2025, tanks will once again roll across Tiananmen Square. According to official designation, this day marks both the “Victory of the War of Resistance Against Japan” and the “Victory of the World Anti-Fascist War.” The commemorative assembly and the large-scale military parade are being prepared with great intensity. Xi Jinping will, for the third time, appear atop Tiananmen Rostrum to personally preside over this highly symbolic ceremony.
The military parade has become his political instrument for consolidating personal authority and reinforcing ideological narratives. From military reforms and purges of top commanders, to new weapons development and defense industry expansion, the parade has become the showcase of his so-called “strong military dream”—or, more accurately, the showcase of his cult of personality project.
(The September 3, 2025 Parade: The Three Evil Dictators Will Jointly Watch the Military Display)
From “First Time” to “Normalization”Xi Jinping had been in power for only three years before he could no longer suppress his true ambitions. Beginning with the 2015 grand military parade commemorating the 70th anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance Against Japan, Xi for the first time broke with the three-decade convention of holding parades only on National Day, inaugurating the so-called “September 3rd Parade” in the name of the 70th anniversary of victory.
Since then, he has repeatedly staged parades at major political moments: the 90th anniversary of the PLA in 2017, the South China Sea naval parade in 2018, the Qingdao naval review in April 2019, the 70th anniversary of the PRC’s founding in 2019, and again in 2025 for the 80th anniversary of the victory over Japan. He even chose locations outside the capital on multiple occasions, creating the precedent of “field parades.”
By contrast, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao each presided over only one Tiananmen military parade during their tenures. Xi Jinping, however, has turned parades into his own annual political spectacle, with a frequency that surpasses any previous CCP leader.
The Totalitarian Aesthetics of Collective Sensory Manipulation
Under Xi Jinping, the military parade is not merely a demonstration of armed strength, but a collective performance steeped in Soviet-style totalitarian aesthetics. The synchronized marching, the overwhelming phalanxes of weaponry, and the ubiquitous nationalist slogans together construct a visual cult of “power and order.”
In such scenes, the individual is erased, the collective is deified, and the status of the supreme leader is infinitely magnified. When soldiers shout in unison, “Greetings, Commander!” and “Obey the Party’s command,” when the background music swells with refrains of “Loyalty to the Party,” and when the camera invariably lingers on Xi atop the Tiananmen Rostrum, this is not merely a display of command over the military—it is a visual ritual of swearing personal allegiance.
Discourse Monopoly and Historical ManipulationXi Jinping’s obsession with military parades also stems from his tight control over historical narratives. He is particularly adept at binding major commemorative days to the legitimacy of the Party-state. For instance, at the 2015 September 3rd parade, he deliberately stressed that “without the Chinese Communist Party there would have been no victory in the War of Resistance” and that “the CCP was the backbone of the war effort,” attributing the entirety of the victory to the Party while remaining vague about the immense sacrifices of the three million Nationalist troops.
Moreover, parades often intersperse short films of veteran soldiers, display portraits of war veterans, and arrange floats with resistance themes. The purpose is not to commemorate history, but to “remold memory”: to forcibly implant into the national consciousness the idea that “the CCP was the sole force of national liberation,” thereby further strengthening the regime’s claim to legitimacy.
Leader as Totem and the Religion of the State
In the mass procession segment of the 2019 National Day parade, for the first time, giant portraits of former leaders—Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao—were displayed in sequence, alongside that of Xi Jinping himself. This arrangement carried an overt political-religious symbolism: the leaders were cast as totemic figures, while history was compressed into a single linear narrative serving the legitimacy of power.
The tears streaming down the faces of spectators were no accident, but rather the product of orchestrated ritual and visual manipulation. These meticulously crafted symbols all served one purpose: to stir nationwide nationalist emotion and then bind that emotion to the current regime. The ultimate message was clear—people were to believe that only Xi Jinping could safeguard national dignity.
Behind the Parade Lies Anxiety About the Future
Against the backdrop of an economy on the verge of collapse and mounting social tensions, the 2025 parade serves more as a “political anesthetic” for an uncertain future. Xi Jinping is acutely aware that he must continuously manufacture the illusion of victory in order to sustain the legitimacy of his rule. Among the tools available, the military parade is one of the most efficient and most symbolic.
Yet behind this state image propped up by parades lies a deepening erosion of public trust, the suppression of dissenting voices, and the leader’s obsession with an “illusion of authority.” Once the masses recover from the fleeting intoxication of the spectacle, they are left to confront the crushing pressures of daily life and the fate of being harvested like chives.
The Cold War was a comprehensive showdown between two systems—socialism and capitalism, between two sets of values—closed authoritarianism and open democracy. As long as socialist systems exist, along with economic models dominated by planned economies and public ownership, the Cold War has not ended—it has merely been put on pause. The U.S.–China trade war is not just an economic contest but the continuation of the Cold War: beginning with economics, ending with politics.
I. The U.S.–China Trade War: The Cold War Restarted
The Cold War, a confrontation without gunfire in the 20th century, profoundly shaped the modern international order. The competition between the U.S. and the Soviet Union in ideology, social systems, economic models, and military power not only divided the world map but also planted the seeds of global rivalry and conflict. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the world seemed to usher in the “end of history,” yet the Cold War never fully dissipated. The U.S.–China struggle is a vivid continuation of that legacy.
First, ideological confrontation runs throughout. The U.S., centered on free markets and democratic values, seeks to maintain its dominant global order; China, flying the banner of “socialism with Chinese characteristics,” emphasizes national sovereignty and the right to development—echoing the Cold War-era opposition between the U.S.-led “free world” and the “capitalist camp” versus the Orwellian “1984 world” and the “socialist bloc.”
Second, the struggle for technological and economic supremacy is at the heart of the trade war. During the Cold War, the U.S. and the Soviet Union engaged in fierce competition in nuclear weapons and space technology. Today, the U.S. and China are locked in intense rivalry in frontier technologies such as 5G, artificial intelligence, and semiconductors.
Finally, the reshaping of the global order is the deeper goal of the trade war. During the Cold War, the U.S. and the Soviet Union fought for global influence through alliances and divisions. Today, the U.S. and China attempt to reshape global economic rules in their favor through trade agreements, regional cooperation, and international organizations.
II. A Clash of Two Systems and Civilizations
The U.S.–China struggle is not only a continuation of the Cold War but also a direct confrontation between two systems—socialism and capitalism—and two civilizations—Eastern collectivism and Western individualism.
Capitalism, centered on individual freedom, market competition, and private ownership, has driven the rapid global economic growth since the Industrial Revolution. Socialism with Chinese characteristics, on the other hand, emphasizes state leadership, collectivism, and public ownership.
Civilizational differences further intensify the conflict. Western civilization, rooted in individualism, emphasizes individual rights, freedom of expression, and democratic institutions. Chinese culture stresses collectivism, harmony, and social stability, underpinned by centralized authority, hierarchy, and social control.
This contest is not merely about the distribution of present-day interests but about determining which system is superior, which path can better lead the future of history. This decisive struggle is not only a clash of systems and civilizations but also a choice about human needs and the direction of history.